Global Markets Face Uncertainty as US Dollar Weakens and Index Providers Diverge

By Fulqrum AI

Monday, February 16, 2026 · 3 min read · 3 sources

The US dollar is expected to remain under pressure due to political and structural factors, while S&P Dow Jones Indices is pushing ahead with its quarterly rebalance review of Indonesian stocks despite rival index providers hitting pause. Meanwhile, industrial metals prices remain steady during the Lunar New Year holiday.

Global markets are facing a period of uncertainty as the US dollar continues to weaken, index providers diverge on their reviews of Indonesian stocks, and industrial metals prices remain steady during the Lunar New Year holiday. According to Joey Chew, head of Asia FX research at HSBC, the US dollar will "remain soft" due to political and structural factors. This prediction comes as the dollar has been under pressure in recent months due to concerns over the US trade deficit and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy. While the US dollar's weakness may have significant implications for global markets, S&P Dow Jones Indices is pushing ahead with its quarterly rebalance review of Indonesian stocks. This move comes despite rival index providers such as MSCI Inc. and FTSE Russell pausing their reviews due to concerns over stock ownership transparency in Indonesia. S&P Dow Jones Indices said it is monitoring developments in Indonesia and will proceed with its March quarterly rebalance as scheduled. The review will assess the eligibility of Indonesian stocks for inclusion in the S&P/IDX Composite Index, which tracks the performance of the Indonesian stock market. The decision by S&P Dow Jones Indices to push ahead with its review is significant, as it may have implications for the composition of the index and the stocks that are included. The review may also impact the investment decisions of fund managers and other investors who track the index. Meanwhile, industrial metals prices remained steady during the Lunar New Year holiday, as many Asian traders were offline for the break. The US market was also closed, which contributed to the subdued trading activity. The steady prices of industrial metals such as copper, aluminum, and zinc are a contrast to the volatility that has characterized the market in recent months. The prices of these metals have been impacted by concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as trade tensions between the US and China. Despite the current steadiness of industrial metals prices, market analysts are warning that the market may be due for a correction. The prices of these metals have been supported by stimulus measures and government policies, but these measures may not be sustainable in the long term. In conclusion, global markets are facing a period of uncertainty as the US dollar weakens, index providers diverge on their reviews of Indonesian stocks, and industrial metals prices remain steady during the Lunar New Year holiday. Market analysts are warning that the market may be due for a correction, and investors are advised to exercise caution in their investment decisions. Sources: * Bloomberg: "US Dollar Will Remain Under Pressure, HSBC's Chew Says" * S&P Dow Jones Indices: "S&P Dow Jones Indices Announces Quarterly Rebalance of S&P/IDX Composite Index" * Reuters: "Industrial Metals Steady During Lunar New Year Holiday"

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